Local view for "http://purl.org/linkedpolitics/eu/plenary/2011-03-09-Speech-3-516-000"
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"en.20110309.22.3-516-000"2
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"Mr President, the current dogma is that Iran will be the big winner of the revolutions in North Africa and beyond. This is possible but less probable.
Firstly, the Iranian model is not exactly what the young people who are revolting in these countries are aspiring to. Secondly, the regime does not enjoy internal peace in order to concentrate exclusively on promoting a more assertive foreign policy. Finally, because other countries like Turkey – or even Egypt after, but also during, transition – are powerful competitors to Iran’s ambitions.
Of course, Iran can always derive a degree of influence through proxies, but that would probably not prove decisive in gaining control in those countries. Paradoxically, the only way to derive an advantage would be to look at the current developments as an opportunity to start reinserting Iran into the international community. It would be a long road but the only sensible one for Iran.
I congratulate Mr Belder on an excellent report."@en1
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